Arsenal vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
OLD
3 - 0
ARS
61%
21%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1920 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
77%
13%
9%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
ARS
3 - 2
OLD
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
MAC
4 - 1
ARS
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
MUD
2 - 0
SUN
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 1
OLD
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
SUN
3 - 0
MUD
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
WBA
2 - 1
MUD
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 0
MUD
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |