Arsenal vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
NTT
1 - 0
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 0
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1908 |
SHE
2 - 2
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1908 |
ARS
4 - 1
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
LIV
4 - 1
ARS
71%
16%
14%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
MUD
3 - 0
SUN
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
FUL
2 - 1
MUD
30%
25%
46%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 1908 |
MUD
1 - 0
BIR
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1908 |
ASV
0 - 2
MUD
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
MUD
1 - 2
BBU
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |