Arsenal vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1907 |
BAR
1 - 2
ARS
32%
24%
43%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
ARS
0 - 1
SHE
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
ARS
1 - 0
BRO
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
ARS
1 - 2
BRI
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
LIV
4 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
BIR
1 - 1
MUD
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
MUD
3 - 0
PNE
65%
19%
15%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
BBU
2 - 4
MUD
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
MUD
4 - 1
STO
71%
17%
13%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
NEW
5 - 0
MUD
75%
16%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |