Arsenal vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
64.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 1
MON
81%
13%
6%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ARS
0 - 2
MUD
45%
24%
32%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
MLS
0 - 5
ARS
4%
13%
83%
|
94 | 14 | 80 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 1
ARS
5%
15%
81%
|
94 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 1
WAT
90%
8%
2%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 2
ATM
86%
10%
4%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
BYM
1 - 2
MAC
28%
23%
49%
|
99 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FCY
3 - 5
MAC
5%
14%
82%
|
99 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 0
INT
79%
14%
8%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
MUD
78%
14%
9%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |