Arsenal vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
SWA
2 - 0
ARS
29%
28%
43%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
NOT
2 - 1
ARS
20%
28%
52%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
ARS
1 - 0
PAN
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
ARS
0 - 0
MUD
50%
26%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1981 |
ARS
1 - 0
BIR
67%
21%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
MAC
0 - 0
MUD
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
BHA
4 - 1
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
MAC
0 - 1
TOT
50%
24%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
MAC
4 - 0
LEE
55%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
BIR
3 - 0
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |