Arsenal vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
CRY
2 - 3
ARS
22%
29%
49%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
ARS
1 - 0
IPS
65%
22%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
SHE
1 - 0
ARS
36%
28%
36%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1972 |
ARS
1 - 0
SOU
66%
21%
13%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1972 |
ARS
2 - 0
BIR
69%
20%
11%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
MAC
4 - 3
WHU
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
COV
3 - 2
MAC
36%
28%
37%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
MAC
1 - 1
WOL
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1972 |
MAC
2 - 1
WBA
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
VCF
2 - 1
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |