Arsenal vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
ARS
1 - 3
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
FUL
2 - 2
ARS
36%
27%
38%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1950 |
CHL
0 - 1
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
ARS
2 - 2
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
CHA
1 - 1
ARS
46%
24%
30%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
MAC
1 - 2
LIV
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
BIR
1 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
MAC
1 - 1
BOL
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1950 |
STO
2 - 0
MAC
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1950 |
MAC
1 - 1
CHL
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |