Arsenal vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1933 |
ARS
3 - 1
WBA
72%
16%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1933 |
SHW
1 - 2
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1933 |
ARS
1 - 1
BIR
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1933 |
SHE
3 - 1
ARS
45%
22%
32%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1933 |
ARS
2 - 2
HUR
72%
16%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1933 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1933 |
LEI
0 - 0
MAC
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1933 |
BIR
0 - 1
MAC
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1933 |
MAC
2 - 3
SHW
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1933 |
HUR
1 - 0
MAC
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |