Arsenal vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
16.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1932 |
ARS
3 - 0
BIR
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1932 |
WBA
1 - 0
ARS
41%
23%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1931 |
ARS
0 - 2
SHE
69%
16%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1931 |
SHE
4 - 1
ARS
50%
21%
29%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1931 |
MID
2 - 5
ARS
48%
22%
31%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1932 |
MAC
1 - 0
EVE
62%
19%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1932 |
MAC
5 - 1
LEI
65%
17%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1932 |
SUN
2 - 5
MAC
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1932 |
MAC
3 - 3
OPA
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1931 |
OPA
3 - 2
MAC
50%
23%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |