Arsenal vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1926 |
ARS
4 - 0
SHE
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
EVE
2 - 3
ARS
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1926 |
SWA
2 - 1
ARS
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 0
ARS
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 0
ASV
50%
21%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1926 |
MAC
0 - 1
BBU
62%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
MAC
2 - 0
WHU
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1926 |
LEY
1 - 6
MAC
19%
21%
60%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1926 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1926 |
MAC
11 - 4
CRY
87%
8%
4%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | +1 |