Arsenal vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
55%
24%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 0
MUD
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
ASV
5 - 0
ARS
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1920 |
ARS
3 - 0
BRA
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
MAC
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
MAC
3 - 2
LIV
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1920 |
MAC
3 - 1
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
LIV
4 - 2
MAC
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1920 |
MAC
2 - 2
ASV
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |