Arsenal vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARS
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1912 |
ARS
1 - 3
SUN
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 1
CHL
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1912 |
OLD
0 - 0
ARS
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1912 |
ARS
1 - 1
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHL
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1912 |
OLD
2 - 1
MAC
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1912 |
MAC
0 - 1
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1912 |
SHE
1 - 1
MAC
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 0
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |