Arsenal vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1912 |
MID
0 - 2
ARS
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
BRA
1 - 1
ARS
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
ARS
3 - 0
BOL
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1912 |
ARS
3 - 1
SHE
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
NEW
1 - 2
ARS
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1912 |
SHE
6 - 2
MAC
71%
17%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
BOL
2 - 1
MAC
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
MAC
1 - 3
OLD
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1912 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
36%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
ASV
3 - 1
MAC
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |