Arsenal vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
MID
1 - 1
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
BRI
2 - 1
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 2
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1908 |
EVE
0 - 3
ARS
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
MAC
5 - 2
LEI
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
EVE
6 - 3
MAC
58%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
MAC
1 - 2
MUD
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1908 |
BRA
0 - 0
MAC
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1908 |
MAC
3 - 3
BBU
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |