Arsenal vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 0
ARS
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1907 |
BCF
3 - 2
ARS
50%
23%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
ARS
0 - 4
BRI
52%
23%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
ARS
1 - 1
NOT
74%
16%
11%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
ARS
3 - 2
DER
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
MAC
0 - 0
SUN
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
EVE
3 - 3
MAC
63%
20%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
SUN
2 - 5
MAC
59%
19%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 3
SUN
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
BBU
4 - 0
MAC
46%
22%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |