Arsenal vs Loughborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1898 |
DAR
1 - 4
ARS
31%
22%
47%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1898 |
ARS
4 - 2
BIR
38%
23%
39%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1898 |
MUD
5 - 1
ARS
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1898 |
GRI
1 - 4
ARS
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1898 |
ARS
2 - 2
MAC
37%
24%
40%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Loughborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1898 |
GAI
4 - 0
LOU
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1898 |
LOU
0 - 5
GAI
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1898 |
LOU
0 - 2
BUR
23%
23%
54%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1898 |
LUT
7 - 0
LOU
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1898 |
LOU
0 - 1
DAR
42%
21%
37%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |