Europa League 1/32
Global 7-1
Arsenal vs Lokomotive Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
NTT
2 - 1
ARS
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
ARS
5 - 1
QPR
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
MAC
1 - 1
ARS
61%
22%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
ARS
2 - 2
LEE
54%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
LOK
2 - 2
ERF
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
ROS
0 - 2
LOK
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
LOK
1 - 1
BSG
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
LOK
1 - 4
CZJ
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
MAG
3 - 3
LOK
66%
19%
14%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |