Arsenal vs Lokomotiv Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
LEI
1 - 1
ARS
13%
21%
66%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2003 |
ARS
5 - 1
WOL
81%
13%
6%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
ARS
0 - 0
FUL
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2003 |
INT
1 - 5
ARS
36%
26%
38%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
BIR
0 - 3
ARS
14%
22%
64%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2003 |
LOK
3 - 2
DYN
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
INT
1 - 1
LOK
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
LOK
6 - 0
ELI
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ZEN
0 - 0
LOK
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
LOK
3 - 0
INT
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |