Arsenal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 0
UDI
67%
20%
14%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 0
ARS
21%
21%
58%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
ARS
38%
24%
39%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 1
RBN
78%
15%
8%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 2
BOC
75%
17%
9%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 1
SUN
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 0
VCF
52%
24%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
GAL
3 - 0
LIV
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
MAL
3 - 6
LIV
1%
14%
84%
|
90 | 9 | 81 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ASV
1 - 0
LIV
36%
28%
36%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |