Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
Arsenal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BOL
2 - 3
ARS
16%
25%
59%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
52%
25%
23%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
79%
15%
6%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
WIG
0 - 0
ARS
14%
23%
63%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
ACM
0 - 2
ARS
35%
27%
38%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 0
EVE
66%
21%
13%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
MUD
3 - 0
LIV
61%
23%
16%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
LIV
2 - 1
REA
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
INT
0 - 1
LIV
57%
24%
19%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
LIV
3 - 0
NEW
72%
18%
10%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |