Arsenal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
31.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
ARS
3 - 0
WHU
59%
23%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
NOR
1 - 0
ARS
46%
26%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEI
59%
24%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
ASV
1 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
ARS
3 - 0
NTT
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
MUD
2 - 0
LIV
46%
28%
26%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
LIV
1 - 0
DER
73%
17%
10%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
IPS
1 - 1
LIV
46%
28%
26%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
LIV
2 - 0
COV
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
BIR
0 - 1
LIV
38%
29%
33%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |