Arsenal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1963 |
ARS
2 - 2
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1963 |
WHU
0 - 4
ARS
58%
20%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1963 |
ARS
2 - 3
TOT
30%
23%
46%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1963 |
ARS
3 - 2
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1963 |
LEI
2 - 0
ARS
62%
19%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1963 |
ARS
2 - 2
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1963 |
IPS
2 - 2
LIV
59%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1963 |
LIV
0 - 2
LEI
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1963 |
LIV
4 - 1
WOL
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1963 |
LIV
4 - 0
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |