Arsenal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
10.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1954 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1954 |
BOL
3 - 1
ARS
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1954 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
63%
18%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1954 |
SHW
2 - 1
ARS
47%
23%
31%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1954 |
ARS
3 - 3
CHA
72%
15%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1954 |
MAC
0 - 2
LIV
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1954 |
LIV
4 - 3
SUN
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1954 |
LIV
1 - 1
CHL
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1954 |
SHE
3 - 1
LIV
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1954 |
LIV
1 - 3
HUR
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |