Arsenal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
SHE
1 - 1
ARS
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1948 |
STO
1 - 0
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
ARS
0 - 1
MUD
60%
21%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
ARS
3 - 0
STO
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
HUR
1 - 1
ARS
37%
27%
37%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
WOL
0 - 0
LIV
69%
16%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1948 |
SHE
1 - 2
LIV
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
LIV
4 - 0
SUN
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
LIV
3 - 3
SHE
61%
20%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
ASV
2 - 1
LIV
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |