Arsenal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
LIV
1 - 3
ARS
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
SUN
1 - 1
ARS
44%
25%
32%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
GRI
0 - 4
ARS
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
ARS
1 - 1
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1947 |
DER
1 - 0
ARS
51%
23%
26%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
LIV
1 - 3
ARS
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PNE
3 - 3
LIV
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
WOL
1 - 2
LIV
76%
14%
11%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
LIV
3 - 3
ASV
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1947 |
MAC
2 - 0
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |