Arsenal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1931 |
GRI
0 - 1
ARS
43%
23%
35%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1931 |
ARS
1 - 1
OPA
71%
17%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
OPA
1 - 1
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
MID
2 - 5
ARS
48%
22%
30%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1931 |
LIV
0 - 0
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1931 |
LIV
2 - 4
SUN
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1931 |
MUD
4 - 1
LIV
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
SHE
4 - 1
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
LIV
1 - 1
MUD
70%
17%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |