Arsenal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1926 |
MUD
2 - 2
ARS
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 2
LEI
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1926 |
BOL
2 - 2
ARS
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1926 |
SHE
4 - 0
ARS
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 1
BOL
51%
23%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1926 |
LIV
5 - 1
SHE
50%
22%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1926 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASV
55%
21%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1926 |
DER
2 - 1
LIV
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1926 |
ASV
1 - 1
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1926 |
LIV
4 - 2
MUD
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |