Arsenal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1921 |
ARS
2 - 1
PNE
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 1
NEW
53%
25%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARS
50%
23%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
ARS
2 - 1
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 3
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
BOL
1 - 0
LIV
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
LIV
1 - 1
DER
73%
17%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
DER
0 - 0
LIV
44%
28%
28%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 0
BBU
61%
21%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |