Arsenal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
NOT
2 - 1
ARS
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOT
53%
23%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
MID
2 - 0
ARS
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 3
TOT
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
DER
4 - 1
ARS
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
LIV
2 - 1
NEW
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
LIV
2 - 2
SHE
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 1
LIV
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
SUN
7 - 0
LIV
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASV
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |