Arsenal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1911 |
NOT
0 - 2
ARS
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1911 |
ARS
2 - 0
PNE
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1911 |
LIV
1 - 1
ARS
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
MID
1 - 1
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1911 |
LIV
3 - 1
ASV
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1911 |
LIV
1 - 1
ARS
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
LIV
2 - 0
BCF
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
LIV
1 - 0
OLD
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |