Arsenal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
MAC
2 - 2
ARS
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
PNE
0 - 0
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 1
BRI
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1909 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
72%
16%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 0
NOT
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
LIV
4 - 1
LEI
85%
10%
5%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
LIV
3 - 1
MUD
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
BRA
0 - 2
LIV
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1909 |
LIV
1 - 1
BBU
75%
15%
11%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
CHL
3 - 0
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |