Arsenal vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
WIM
1 - 2
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1987 |
ARS
0 - 1
NEW
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1987 |
WHU
3 - 1
ARS
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
ARS
2 - 1
LIV
40%
30%
30%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
LEI
2 - 0
WHU
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
LEI
1 - 1
ASV
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
NEW
2 - 0
LEI
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1987 |
LEI
4 - 0
MAC
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1987 |
LEI
4 - 1
QPR
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |