Arsenal vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
SUN
0 - 2
ARS
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
ARS
4 - 1
WOL
59%
19%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1964 |
STO
4 - 1
ARS
40%
23%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1964 |
ARS
3 - 2
STO
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
ASV
3 - 1
ARS
36%
23%
41%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1965 |
LEI
3 - 2
PLY
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
LEI
2 - 2
LEE
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
CHL
4 - 1
LEI
56%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1964 |
SHW
0 - 0
LEI
56%
21%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1964 |
LEI
2 - 2
SHW
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |