Arsenal vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
TOT
4 - 3
ARS
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1961 |
LEI
0 - 1
ARS
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
ARS
2 - 2
BUR
47%
22%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1961 |
EVE
4 - 1
ARS
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
ARS
1 - 5
WOL
34%
23%
43%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
LEI
1 - 0
WBA
56%
21%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1961 |
LEI
0 - 1
ARS
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
MAC
3 - 1
LEI
51%
22%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1961 |
TOT
2 - 0
LEI
85%
9%
6%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1961 |
LEI
3 - 2
BIR
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |