Arsenal vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1932 |
BOL
1 - 0
ARS
40%
23%
37%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1932 |
HUR
0 - 1
ARS
41%
22%
37%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1932 |
ARS
2 - 0
BPO
72%
15%
13%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1932 |
ARS
4 - 0
GRI
73%
15%
12%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
EVE
1 - 3
ARS
59%
19%
23%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1932 |
LEI
1 - 1
DER
57%
19%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1932 |
SHW
3 - 1
LEI
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1932 |
LEI
2 - 1
WHU
64%
17%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEI
46%
23%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1932 |
LEI
2 - 1
OPA
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |