Arsenal vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
ARS
0 - 1
TOT
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1925 |
BCF
2 - 0
ARS
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
LEE
1 - 0
ARS
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
ARS
5 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1925 |
ARS
2 - 0
WBA
42%
29%
29%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
LEI
3 - 1
LIV
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1925 |
LEI
4 - 0
STO
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
LEI
1 - 0
BRA
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEI
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1925 |
LEI
0 - 0
SOU
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |