FA Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
Arsenal vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
NOT
1 - 0
ARS
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1983 |
ARS
1 - 0
SHW
78%
15%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
ARS
3 - 0
STO
62%
23%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
ARS
2 - 1
BOL
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1983 |
LIV
3 - 1
ARS
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
DER
3 - 3
LEE
39%
28%
34%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
LEE
1 - 0
GRI
68%
21%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
LEE
3 - 0
PNE
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1983 |
MID
0 - 0
LEE
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1982 |
LEE
1 - 1
BOL
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |