Arsenal vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1960 |
BUR
3 - 2
ARS
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1960 |
ARS
1 - 1
LEI
60%
19%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1960 |
PNE
0 - 3
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1960 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEW
54%
20%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1960 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1960 |
LEE
4 - 3
MAC
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1960 |
LEE
3 - 3
BIR
46%
24%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1960 |
LEE
2 - 4
BPO
45%
24%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1960 |
FUL
5 - 0
LEE
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1960 |
NEW
2 - 1
LEE
64%
19%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |