Arsenal vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1935 |
LIV
0 - 2
ARS
50%
22%
28%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1934 |
ARS
1 - 1
OPA
75%
15%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1934 |
PNE
2 - 1
ARS
34%
25%
42%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1934 |
ARS
5 - 3
PNE
80%
13%
8%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
DER
3 - 1
ARS
47%
23%
31%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1935 |
LEE
5 - 1
BBU
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1934 |
MID
3 - 3
LEE
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1934 |
MAC
3 - 0
LEE
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1934 |
LEE
1 - 2
MAC
56%
22%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
TOT
1 - 1
LEE
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |