Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 9-4
Arsenal vs København XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
4.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.4%
5-0
6%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
6%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
39%
23%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1963 |
ARS
4 - 4
TOT
35%
22%
43%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1963 |
STO
1 - 2
ARS
27%
22%
52%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1963 |
ARS
6 - 0
IPS
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
EVE
2 - 1
ARS
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
København XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
KOB
1 - 7
ARS
13%
16%
71%
|
11 | 81 | 70 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1962 |
KOB
2 - 3
HIB
27%
19%
54%
|
12 | 71 | 59 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1962 |
HIB
4 - 0
KOB
85%
9%
6%
|
12 | 70 | 58 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1961 |
DZG
2 - 2
KOB
82%
11%
8%
|
11 | 79 | 68 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1961 |
KOB
2 - 7
DZG
27%
21%
51%
|
11 | 79 | 68 | 0 |