EFL Cup 1/32
Global 8-0
Arsenal vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
CHL
1 - 0
ARS
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
ARS
4 - 2
SOU
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1995 |
HAR
0 - 3
ARS
17%
23%
60%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
ARS
1 - 0
WHU
60%
24%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
MAC
0 - 1
ARS
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
CAM
0 - 1
HAR
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
HAR
2 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1995 |
HAR
0 - 3
ARS
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
HAR
2 - 2
GUL
52%
24%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
HAR
1 - 1
DAR
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |