Arsenal vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1948 |
MAC
0 - 0
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
OPA
0 - 0
ARS
47%
24%
28%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1948 |
ARS
1 - 2
DER
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1948 |
HUR
1 - 1
ARS
36%
27%
38%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1948 |
ARS
2 - 0
BBU
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1948 |
GRI
1 - 3
CHA
43%
23%
34%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1948 |
BOL
2 - 0
GRI
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1948 |
GRI
1 - 0
OPA
36%
24%
41%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1948 |
MID
4 - 1
GRI
72%
15%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1948 |
EVE
3 - 1
GRI
70%
16%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |