Arsenal vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
EVE
1 - 3
ARS
59%
19%
23%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1932 |
ARS
4 - 0
MAC
66%
17%
17%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1932 |
ARS
3 - 0
BIR
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1932 |
WBA
1 - 0
ARS
41%
23%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1931 |
ARS
0 - 2
SHE
69%
16%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
GRI
5 - 1
LIV
44%
22%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1932 |
GRI
2 - 2
ASV
39%
22%
38%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1932 |
LEI
1 - 2
GRI
70%
15%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1932 |
NEW
2 - 0
GRI
68%
16%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1932 |
GRI
1 - 4
HUR
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |