Arsenal vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1967 |
WOL
3 - 2
ARS
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1967 |
ARS
2 - 1
SUN
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1967 |
MUD
1 - 0
ARS
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARS
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1967 |
FUL
2 - 4
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1967 |
NEW
2 - 1
FUL
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1967 |
FUL
1 - 2
WBA
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
BUR
2 - 0
FUL
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
FUL
0 - 3
WHU
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |