Arsenal vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
NEW
0 - 1
ARS
41%
23%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1965 |
ARS
1 - 1
NOR
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1965 |
ARS
4 - 2
MUD
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1965 |
EVE
3 - 1
ARS
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1965 |
ARS
1 - 0
NTT
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
FUL
3 - 0
WHU
41%
23%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1965 |
SUN
2 - 2
FUL
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1965 |
FUL
3 - 6
ASV
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1965 |
SHE
2 - 0
FUL
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1965 |
LIV
2 - 1
FUL
74%
15%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |