Arsenal vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1964 |
BOL
1 - 1
ARS
28%
22%
50%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1963 |
BIR
1 - 4
ARS
40%
23%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1963 |
ARS
0 - 1
LEI
66%
17%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1963 |
LIE
3 - 1
ARS
37%
23%
39%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1963 |
WOL
2 - 2
ARS
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1964 |
FUL
1 - 1
WBA
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1963 |
IPS
4 - 2
FUL
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1963 |
FUL
10 - 1
IPS
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1963 |
BIR
0 - 0
FUL
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1963 |
FUL
2 - 2
EVE
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |