Arsenal vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1951 |
CHA
1 - 3
ARS
53%
23%
25%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1951 |
ARS
1 - 0
BUR
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
PNE
2 - 0
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1951 |
ARS
1 - 1
TOT
66%
18%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
MAC
0 - 2
ARS
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1951 |
FUL
1 - 2
BPO
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1951 |
LIV
4 - 0
FUL
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
FUL
2 - 3
OPA
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1951 |
NEW
0 - 1
FUL
77%
15%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
FUL
1 - 0
WBA
56%
21%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |