Arsenal vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1949 |
NEW
0 - 3
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1949 |
ARS
1 - 0
BPO
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
MID
1 - 1
ARS
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1949 |
ARS
5 - 2
EVE
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
DER
1 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1949 |
FUL
0 - 1
LIV
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1949 |
SUN
2 - 0
FUL
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
FUL
1 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1949 |
STO
0 - 2
FUL
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
BPO
0 - 0
FUL
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |