Arsenal vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ARS
3 - 0
SHE
82%
13%
6%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
MUD
0 - 1
ARS
52%
25%
23%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
HSV
1 - 2
ARS
28%
28%
44%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 0
ARS
22%
27%
52%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
FCP
3 - 0
BMA
70%
20%
10%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
NAV
0 - 2
FCP
21%
27%
53%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
FCP
0 - 0
CSK
56%
25%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
EST
0 - 3
FCP
18%
27%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
FCP
2 - 1
UDL
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |