Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Quarter-finals
Global 9-1
Arsenal vs FC Municipal Bacău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
ARS
2 - 1
LIV
44%
28%
28%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1970 |
FCM
0 - 2
ARS
45%
26%
30%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
ARS
3 - 1
SUN
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
DER
3 - 2
ARS
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 1
ARS
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Municipal Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
2 - 1
FCM
50%
27%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1970 |
FCM
0 - 2
ARS
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
FCM
2 - 1
UTA
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1970 |
FCM
2 - 0
KIL
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1969 |
KIL
1 - 1
FCM
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |